Most likely champion

FC Bayern München

Top 4 race

10clubs still live

Most likely relegated

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Spread

25pts typical

#	Team	Title	UCL	UEL	UECL	Rel	Proj. Pts	Range
1	BayernFCB	79%	100%	<1%	<1%	-	74.3	63–85
2	LeverkusenB04	7%	82%	7%	4%	<1%	60.8	48–73
3	DortmundBVB	6%	77%	8%	5%	<1%	59.7	47–72
4	LeipzigRBL	5%	77%	7%	5%	<1%	59.5	46–72
5	FreiburgSCF	<1%	36%	12%	11%	2%	51.2	39–64
6	StuttgartVFB	<1%	29%	11%	11%	3%	49.5	37–62
7	HoffenheimTSG	<1%	23%	10%	10%	5%	48.3	36–61
8	MainzM05	<1%	22%	10%	10%	5%	48.0	35–61
9	ElversbergELV	<1%	17%	7%	8%	12%	45.6	32–60
10	KölnKOE	<1%	10%	6%	7%	13%	43.9	31–57
11	FrankfurtSGE	<1%	5%	4%	5%	21%	41.7	30–54
12	BremenSVW	<1%	5%	4%	5%	20%	41.6	30–54
13	HamburgHSV	<1%	4%	3%	4%	26%	40.4	29–53
14	AugsburgFCA	<1%	4%	3%	4%	26%	40.0	28–53
15	Union BerlinFCU	<1%	3%	3%	4%	29%	39.7	27–52
16	PaderbornPAD	<1%	4%	3%	3%	37%	38.4	25–53
17	SchalkeS04	<1%	2%	2%	2%	47%	36.1	23–50
18	GladbachBMG	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	54%	34.8	23–47

Updated Sat 24 Oct, 03:51

Bars show how often each club finished in each outcome across 100,000 simulated seasons. How it works · Transfers that shaped this table

Position probability heatmap

Cells are percentages; blanks are under 0.5%. Teams are sorted by expected points.