Most likely champion

Middlesbrough

Top 4 race

12clubs still live

Most likely relegated

Preston North End

Spread

27pts typical

#	Team	Title	UCL	UEL	UECL	Rel	Proj. Pts	Range
1	MiddlesbroughMID	44%	93%	3%	2%	-	85.8	73–99
2	West HamWHU	26%	82%	5%	4%	<1%	81.4	67–96
3	WolvesWOL	11%	65%	8%	6%	<1%	77.2	63–92
4	SouthamptonSOU	8%	59%	10%	7%	<1%	75.6	62–89
5	BirminghamBRC	4%	47%	11%	9%	<1%	73.2	60–86
6	West BromWBA	3%	40%	10%	9%	<1%	72.2	59–86
7	QPRQPR	1%	25%	9%	9%	<1%	68.5	55–82
8	SwanseaSWA	<1%	19%	8%	8%	<1%	67.2	54–80
9	MillwallMLW	<1%	14%	6%	7%	2%	65.1	52–79
10	CardiffCDF	<1%	15%	6%	6%	3%	64.5	50–79
11	PortsmouthPTM	<1%	11%	5%	6%	2%	64.0	51–77
12	Sheff UtdSHU	<1%	9%	5%	6%	3%	63.1	50–77
13	StokeSTK	<1%	4%	3%	4%	6%	60.1	47–73
14	BlackburnBBR	<1%	4%	2%	3%	6%	59.7	47–73
15	LincolnLNC	<1%	5%	3%	3%	9%	59.5	46–74
16	WrexhamWXH	<1%	2%	2%	2%	11%	57.4	45–71
17	NorwichNOR	<1%	2%	1%	2%	13%	56.5	43–70
18	BoltonBOL	<1%	2%	1%	2%	20%	55.2	41–70
19	Bristol CityBSC	<1%	1%	<1%	1%	18%	54.8	42–68
20	WatfordWAT	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	23%	53.7	41–67
21	CharltonCHA	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	26%	52.9	40–66
22	BurnleyBUR	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	37%	50.4	36–65
23	DerbyDRB	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	47%	48.3	36–61
24	PrestonPNE	-	<1%	<1%	<1%	74%	42.8	30–56

Updated Sun 25 Oct, 04:15

Bars show how often each club finished in each outcome across 100,000 simulated seasons. How it works · Transfers that shaped this table

Position probability heatmap

Cells are percentages; blanks are under 0.5%. Teams are sorted by expected points.