Most likely champion

Paris Saint Germain

Top 4 race

14clubs still live

Most likely relegated

Le Havre

Spread

24pts typical

#	Team	Title	UCL	UEL	UECL	Rel	Proj. Pts	Range
1	PSGPSG	52%	92%	3%	2%	<1%	63.3	51–75
2	LensLEN	13%	65%	8%	6%	<1%	55.5	43–67
3	LyonLYO	8%	55%	9%	7%	1%	53.6	42–66
4	MonacoASM	7%	51%	9%	8%	2%	53.1	41–65
5	LilleLOSC	5%	42%	9%	8%	3%	51.3	39–63
6	RennesREN	4%	41%	9%	8%	3%	51.3	39–64
7	Paris FCPFC	3%	33%	9%	8%	4%	49.8	38–62
8	MarseilleOM	3%	33%	9%	8%	5%	49.3	37–61
9	ToulouseTOU	1%	18%	7%	7%	11%	46.1	34–58
10	LorientLOR	<1%	14%	5%	6%	14%	45.1	33–57
11	StrasbourgSTR	<1%	12%	5%	6%	17%	44.2	32–56
12	Le MansMAN	<1%	13%	5%	5%	20%	43.8	31–57
13	BrestB29	<1%	10%	4%	5%	19%	43.1	32–55
14	NiceNCE	<1%	8%	4%	5%	22%	42.9	32–55
15	AuxerreAUX	<1%	6%	3%	4%	29%	41.5	30–54
16	TroyesTRO	<1%	5%	2%	3%	40%	39.5	27–52
17	AngersANG	<1%	2%	1%	2%	50%	37.5	26–49
18	Le HavreLEH	<1%	1%	<1%	1%	59%	35.5	24–48

Updated Sat 24 Oct, 04:01

Bars show how often each club finished in each outcome across 100,000 simulated seasons. How it works · Transfers that shaped this table

Position probability heatmap

Cells are percentages; blanks are under 0.5%. Teams are sorted by expected points.