Arsenal vs Brentford Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

BRE concede disproportionate xG through their right side, exactly where ARS focus their attacks

FavoursARSSubscribers see the evidence behind this

ARS concede just 0.5 xGA per match vs BRE's 1.9. That gap should show in chance quality

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BRE build from the back against one of the league's more aggressive presses, creating transition opportunities for ARS

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Arsenal

Last 10 home games8W · 1D · 1L · 80% wins

Strong at home

2.2 goals per game (xG expected: 2.2)

On track

0.7 conceded per game (xGA expected: 0.7)

On track

Brentford

Last 10 away games5W · 0D · 5L · 50% wins

Solid form (solid defence)

1.3 goals per game (xG expected: 1.4)

On track

1.4 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.7)

Above expected

Player
Saka ARS	0.77	0.36	2.99	98
Lewis-Potter BRE	0.58	0.54	2.29	76
Eze ARS	0.56	0.31	3.10	89

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Arsenal

Brentford

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

ARS(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.21

0.3218th

0.1118th

0.1318th

0.1315th

0.1317th

0.1313th

0.1114th

0.0817th

0.0816th

BRE(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.87

0.766th

0.376th

0.426th

0.1610th

0.325th

0.138th

0.241st

0.261st

0.211st

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did the channel advantage actually produce chances?

Did the defensive gap show in chance quality?

Did the press force the turnovers we expected?

Come back after the final whistle.

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

ARS

BRE

ARS

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

ArsenalArsenal
2-1
BrentfordBrentford
Rice 18'
Havertz 85'

Players who decide this

ARS

BRE

ARS

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

ARS

BRE

ARS

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Brentford formWLLWW

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

ARS

BRE

ARS