Arsenal vs Crystal Palace Preview: What the xG Data Says

15306075+4'+4'

1-0

2-0

3-0

4-0

5-0

Premier League 2023/2024

GW21

20 Jan 12:30

P. Tierney

This match has been played.

See full analysis

Pre-Match Signals

CRY concede disproportionate xG through their right side, exactly where ARS focus their attacks

FavoursARSSubscribers see the evidence behind this

ARS concede just 0.5 xGA per match vs CRY's 1.8. That gap should show in chance quality

FavoursARSSubscribers see the evidence behind this

CRY build from the back against one of the league's more aggressive presses, creating transition opportunities for ARS

FavoursARSSubscribers see the evidence behind this

Arsenal

Last 10 home games8W · 1D · 1L · 80% wins

Strong at home

2.2 goals per game (xG expected: 2.2)

On track

0.7 conceded per game (xGA expected: 0.7)

On track

Crystal Palace

Last 10 away games4W · 1D · 5L · 40% wins

Solid form (wasteful in front of goal)

1.0 goals per game (xG expected: 1.2)

Below expected

1.3 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.6)

Above expected

Player
Saka ARS	0.77	0.36	2.99	98
Eze ARS	0.56	0.31	3.10	89
Jesus ARS	0.56	0.40	2.66	75

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Arsenal

Crystal Palace

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

ARS(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.21

0.3218th

0.1118th

0.1318th

0.1315th

0.1317th

0.1313th

0.1114th

0.0817th

0.0816th

CRY(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.50

0.5015th

0.395th

0.3710th

0.342nd

0.299th

0.166th

0.1111th

0.1312th

0.212nd

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did the channel advantage actually produce chances?

Did the defensive gap show in chance quality?

Did the press force the turnovers we expected?

Come back after the final whistle.

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Player
Saka ARS	0.77	0.36	2.99	98
Eze ARS	0.56	0.31	3.10	89
Jesus ARS	0.56	0.40	2.66	75

24 more players, opponent-adjusted columns and last-6 trendsSign Up Sign Up

ArsenalArsenal
5-0
Crystal PalaceC. Palace
Magalhaes 10'
Henderson (OG) 36'
Trossard 58'
Martinelli 93'
Martinelli 94'
2.27-0.65

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

ARS

ARS

ARS

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

ARS

ARS

ARS

ArsenalArsenal5-0Crystal PalaceC. PalaceMagalhaes 10'Henderson (OG) 36'Trossard 58'Martinelli 93'Martinelli 94'2.27-0.65

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

ARS

ARS

ARS

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

ARS

ARS

ARS

ArsenalArsenal
5-0
Crystal PalaceC. Palace
Magalhaes 10'
Henderson (OG) 36'
Trossard 58'
Martinelli 93'
Martinelli 94'
2.27-0.65