Arsenal vs Everton Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

ARS concede just 0.5 xGA per match vs EVE's 1.6. That gap should show in chance quality

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Both teams defend high and press aggressively, which typically opens space in behind and increases transition frequency

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A stark contrast in approach: EVE skip the midfield while ARS control tempo, creating a pattern clash

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Arsenal

Last 10 home games8W · 1D · 1L · 80% wins

Strong at home

2.2 goals per game (xG expected: 2.2)

On track

0.7 conceded per game (xGA expected: 0.7)

On track

Everton

Last 10 away games5W · 3D · 2L · 50% wins

Solid form (solid defence)

0.9 goals per game (xG expected: 1.0)

On track

0.7 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.6)

Outperforming

Player
Saka ARS	0.77	0.42	2.99	79
Eze ARS	0.56	0.37	3.10	72
Jesus ARS	0.56	0.47	2.66	-

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Arsenal

Everton

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

ARS(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.21

0.3218th

0.1118th

0.1318th

0.1315th

0.1317th

0.1313th

0.1114th

0.0817th

0.0816th

EVE(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.95

0.5812th

0.2116th

0.2914th

0.268th

0.1315th

0.1311th

0.168th

0.1313th

0.0518th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

ArsenalArsenal
2-1
EvertonEverton
Tomiyasu 43'
Havertz 88'

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

ARS

ARS

ARS

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

ARS

ARS

ARS

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

ARS

ARS

ARS

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Everton formDWDDW

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

ARS

ARS

ARS