Arsenal vs Newcastle Utd Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

ARS concede just 0.5 xGA per match vs NEW's 1.7. That gap should show in chance quality

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ARS win 80% at home while NEW win just 22% away. Venue form strongly favours the hosts

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Three straight defeats will affect their approach. Expect a cautious opening from NEW

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Arsenal

Last 10 home games8W · 1D · 1L · 80% wins

Strong at home

2.2 goals per game (xG expected: 2.2)

On track

0.7 conceded per game (xGA expected: 0.7)

On track

Newcastle United

Last 9 away games2W · 1D · 6L · 22% wins

Struggling away (leaky at the back)

1.2 goals per game (xG expected: 1.2)

On track

1.8 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.5)

Below expected

Player
Saka ARS	0.77	0.36	2.99	98
Eze ARS	0.56	0.31	3.10	89
Jesus ARS	0.56	0.40	2.66	75

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Arsenal

Newcastle United

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

ARS(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.21

0.3218th

0.1118th

0.1318th

0.1315th

0.1317th

0.1313th

0.1114th

0.0817th

0.0816th

NEW(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.63

0.795th

0.378th

0.552nd

0.323rd

0.2910th

0.0018th

0.1113th

0.1115th

0.1114th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

ArsenalArsenal
4-1
Newcastle UtdNewcastle
Botman (OG) 17'
Havertz 23'
Saka

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

ARS

ARS

ARS

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

ARS

ARS

ARS

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

ARS

ARS

ARS

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Newcastle United formWDLLL

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

ARS

ARS

ARS