Brentford vs Manchester City Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

BRE concede disproportionate xG through their left side, exactly where MCI focus their attacks

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BRE build from the back against one of the league's more aggressive presses, creating transition opportunities for MCI

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Combined xG profiles point to 3.6+ goals. Expect early action rather than a cagey start

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Brentford

Last 10 home games6W · 2D · 2L · 60% wins

Solid form (solid defence)

2.0 goals per game (xG expected: 1.9)

On track

1.0 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.4)

Above expected

Manchester City

Last 10 away games5W · 2D · 3L · 50% wins

Solid form

1.6 goals per game (xG expected: 1.7)

On track

1.3 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.3)

On track

Player
Haaland MCI	1.02	0.73	3.56	99
Foden MCI	0.50	0.32	2.97	80
Lewis-Potter BRE	0.58	0.54	2.29	76

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Brentford

Manchester City

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

BRE(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.87

0.766th

0.376th

0.426th

0.1610th

0.325th

0.138th

0.241st

0.261st

0.211st

MCI(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.34

0.3917th

0.2613th

0.2117th

0.1314th

0.0818th

0.0516th

0.0318th

0.0518th

0.139th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

BrentfordBrentford
1-3
Manchester CityMan City
Maupay 20'

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

MCI

MCI

BRE

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

MCI

MCI

BRE

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

MCI

MCI

BRE

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Manchester City formDLWDW

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

MCI

MCI

BRE