Burnley vs Crystal Palace Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

Goals are diverging from expected levels on both sides, suggesting regression could hit either team's attack

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Combined xG profiles point to 3.0+ goals. Expect early action rather than a cagey start

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Burnley

Last 10 home games1W · 3D · 6L · 10% wins

Struggling at home

0.9 goals per game (xG expected: 1.0)

On track

1.7 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.8)

On track

Crystal Palace

Last 10 away games4W · 1D · 5L · 40% wins

Solid form (wasteful in front of goal)

1.0 goals per game (xG expected: 1.2)

Below expected

1.3 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.6)

Above expected

Player
Mateta CRY	0.50	0.38	1.61	64
Johnson CRY	0.53	0.33	1.75	84
B. Larsen BUR	0.46	0.31	2.57	68

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Burnley

Crystal Palace

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

BUR(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

3.29

0.794th

0.392nd

0.791st

0.294th

0.326th

0.242nd

0.167th

0.214th

0.1112th

CRY(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.50

0.5015th

0.395th

0.3710th

0.342nd

0.299th

0.166th

0.1111th

0.1312th

0.212nd

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

BurnleyBurnley
0-2
Crystal PalaceC. Palace

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

CRY

CRY

BUR

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

CRY

CRY

BUR

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

CRY

CRY

BUR

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Crystal Palace formDLLDW

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

CRY

CRY

BUR