Burnley vs Wolverhampton Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

WOL concede disproportionate xG through their left side, exactly where BUR focus their attacks

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Goals are diverging from expected levels on both sides, suggesting regression could hit either team's attack

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Three straight defeats will affect their approach. Expect a cautious opening from WOL

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Burnley

Last 10 home games1W · 3D · 6L · 10% wins

Struggling at home

0.9 goals per game (xG expected: 1.0)

On track

1.7 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.8)

On track

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Last 10 away games0W · 3D · 7L · 0% wins

Struggling away (wasteful in front of goal)

0.5 goals per game (xG expected: 0.9)

Below expected

1.8 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.7)

On track

Player
Hee-Chan WOL	0.44	0.33	1.51	50
Ward-Prowse BUR	0.40	0.13	1.18	52
B. Larsen BUR	0.46	0.31	2.57	68

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Burnley

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

BUR(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

3.29

0.794th

0.392nd

0.791st

0.294th

0.326th

0.242nd

0.167th

0.214th

0.1112th

WOL(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.58

0.767th

0.394th

0.397th

0.1117th

0.298th

0.1310th

0.184th

0.169th

0.166th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did the channel advantage actually produce chances?

Did finishing regression show up, or did luck hold?

Did the struggling side show signs of recovery?

Come back after the final whistle.

BurnleyBurnley
1-1
WolverhamptonWolves
Larsen 36'

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

WOL

BUR

BUR

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

WOL

BUR

BUR

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

WOL

BUR

BUR

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Wolverhampton Wanderers formDDLLL

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

WOL

BUR

BUR