Chelsea vs Crystal Palace Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

They're creating more than they're finishing. If conversion regresses to the mean, expect more goals from CRY

FavoursCRYSubscribers see the evidence behind this

Combined xG profiles point to 3.7+ goals. Expect early action rather than a cagey start

Subscribers see the evidence behind this

Three straight wins and the underlying data supports the run, not just results

FavoursCHESubscribers see the evidence behind this

Chelsea

Last 10 home games5W · 2D · 3L · 50% wins

Solid form (solid defence)

1.8 goals per game (xG expected: 1.9)

On track

1.3 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.6)

Above expected

Crystal Palace

Last 10 away games4W · 1D · 5L · 40% wins

Solid form (wasteful in front of goal)

1.0 goals per game (xG expected: 1.2)

Below expected

1.3 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.6)

Above expected

Player
Palmer CHE	0.79	0.30	3.20	98
Pedro CHE	0.70	0.41	2.75	91
Johnson CRY	0.53	0.33	1.75	84

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Chelsea

Crystal Palace

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

CHE(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.42

0.6111th

0.3410th

0.3411th

0.189th

0.423rd

0.1312th

0.0816th

0.1610th

0.167th

CRY(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.50

0.5015th

0.395th

0.3710th

0.342nd

0.299th

0.166th

0.1111th

0.1312th

0.212nd

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

ChelseaChelsea
2-1
Crystal PalaceC. Palace
Mudryk 12'
Madueke (P) 88'

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

CHE

CHE

CRY

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

CHE

CHE

CRY

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

CHE

CHE

CRY

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Crystal Palace formDLLDW

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

CHE

CHE

CRY