Crystal Palace vs Brentford Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

See full analysis

Pre-Match Signals

BRE concede disproportionate xG through their left side, exactly where CRY focus their attacks

FavoursCRYSubscribers see the evidence behind this

They're creating more than they're finishing. If conversion regresses to the mean, expect more goals from CRY

FavoursCRYSubscribers see the evidence behind this

Combined xG profiles point to 3.6+ goals. Expect early action rather than a cagey start

Subscribers see the evidence behind this

Crystal Palace

Last 10 home games2W · 4D · 4L · 20% wins

Struggling at home (wasteful in front of goal)

1.0 goals per game (xG expected: 1.9)

Underperforming

1.4 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.5)

On track

Brentford

Last 10 away games5W · 0D · 5L · 50% wins

Solid form (solid defence)

1.3 goals per game (xG expected: 1.4)

On track

1.4 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.7)

Above expected

Player
Mateta CRY	0.50	0.38	1.61	64
Johnson CRY	0.53	0.33	1.75	84
Lewis-Potter BRE	0.58	0.54	2.29	76

26 more players, opponent-adjusted columns and last-6 trendsSign Up

Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Crystal Palace

Brentford

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

CRY(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.50

0.5015th

0.395th

0.3710th

0.342nd

0.299th

0.166th

0.1111th

0.1312th

0.212nd

BRE(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.87

0.766th

0.376th

0.426th

0.1610th

0.325th

0.138th

0.241st

0.261st

0.211st

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Crystal PalaceC. Palace
3-1
BrentfordBrentford
Olise 13'
Eze 38'
Olise

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

CRY

CRY

BRE

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

CRY

CRY

BRE

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

CRY

CRY

BRE

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Brentford formWLLWW

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

CRY

CRY

BRE