Crystal Palace vs Brighton Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

CRY concede disproportionate xG through their right side, exactly where BRI focus their attacks

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They're creating more than they're finishing. If conversion regresses to the mean, expect more goals from CRY

FavoursCRYSubscribers see the evidence behind this

Combined xG profiles point to 3.0+ goals. Expect early action rather than a cagey start

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Crystal Palace

Last 10 home games2W · 4D · 4L · 20% wins

Struggling at home (wasteful in front of goal)

1.0 goals per game (xG expected: 1.9)

Underperforming

1.4 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.5)

On track

Brighton

Last 10 away games2W · 4D · 4L · 20% wins

Struggling away

1.3 goals per game (xG expected: 1.4)

On track

1.5 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.6)

On track

Player
Mateta CRY	0.50	0.38	1.61	64
Johnson CRY	0.53	0.33	1.75	84
March BRI	0.44	0.31	1.96	81

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Crystal Palace

Brighton

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

CRY(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.50

0.5015th

0.395th

0.3710th

0.342nd

0.299th

0.166th

0.1111th

0.1312th

0.212nd

BRI(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.42

0.6810th

0.377th

0.379th

0.1116th

0.2611th

0.139th

0.183rd

0.1311th

0.183rd

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Crystal PalaceC. Palace
1-1
BrightonBrighton
Ayew 45'

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

CRY

CRY

BRI

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

CRY

CRY

BRI

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

CRY

CRY

BRI

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Brighton formDDLDL

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

CRY

CRY

BRI