Fulham vs Manchester City Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

FUL concede disproportionate xG through their left side, exactly where MCI focus their attacks

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Combined xG profiles point to 3.2+ goals. Expect early action rather than a cagey start

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Neither side keeps clean sheets regularly (0% and 17%). Both create enough chances to score

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Fulham

Last 10 home games5W · 1D · 4L · 50% wins

Solid form (clinical finishing)

1.7 goals per game (xG expected: 1.4)

Above expected

1.4 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.4)

On track

Manchester City

Last 10 away games5W · 2D · 3L · 50% wins

Solid form

1.6 goals per game (xG expected: 1.7)

On track

1.3 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.3)

On track

Player
Haaland MCI	1.02	0.73	3.56	99
Muniz FUL	0.63	0.58	3.06	81
Bobb FUL	0.72	0.32	0.73	-

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Fulham

Manchester City

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

FUL(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.29

0.748th

0.2911th

0.3213th

0.295th

0.1813th

0.1115th

0.185th

0.0816th

0.1113th

MCI(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.34

0.3917th

0.2613th

0.2117th

0.1314th

0.0818th

0.0516th

0.0318th

0.0518th

0.139th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

FulhamFulham
0-4
Manchester CityMan City

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

MCI

FUL

FUL

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

MCI

FUL

FUL

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

MCI

FUL

FUL

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Manchester City formDLWDW

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

MCI

FUL

FUL