Liverpool vs Chelsea Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

See full analysis

Pre-Match Signals

LIV concede disproportionate xG through their centre, exactly where CHE focus their attacks

FavoursCHESubscribers see the evidence behind this

LIV concede just 1.2 xGA per match vs CHE's 1.7. That gap should show in chance quality

FavoursLIVSubscribers see the evidence behind this

Combined xG profiles point to 3.4+ goals. Expect early action rather than a cagey start

Subscribers see the evidence behind this

Liverpool

Last 10 home games4W · 3D · 3L · 40% wins

Solid form (wasteful in front of goal)

1.4 goals per game (xG expected: 1.8)

Below expected

1.1 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.2)

On track

Chelsea

Last 10 away games5W · 3D · 2L · 50% wins

Solid form (wasteful in front of goal)

1.7 goals per game (xG expected: 1.9)

Below expected

1.0 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.6)

Outperforming

Player
Salah LIV	0.95	0.50	3.61	99
Palmer CHE	0.79	0.30	3.20	98
Pedro CHE	0.70	0.41	2.75	91

31 more players, opponent-adjusted columns and last-6 trendsSign Up

Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Liverpool

Chelsea

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

LIV(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.66

0.4216th

0.2415th

0.2916th

0.0318th

0.1614th

0.0317th

0.169th

0.215th

0.1310th

CHE(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.42

0.6111th

0.3410th

0.3411th

0.189th

0.423rd

0.1312th

0.0816th

0.1610th

0.167th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

LiverpoolLiverpool
4-1
ChelseaChelsea
Jota 22'
Bradley 38'
Szoboszlai

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

LIV

CHE

CHE

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

LIV

CHE

CHE

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

LIV

CHE

CHE

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Chelsea formLWWWW

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

LIV

CHE

CHE