Luton Town vs Newcastle Utd Preview: What the xG Data Says

Premier League 2023/2024

GW18

23 Dec 15:00

D. England

This match has been played.

See full analysis

Pre-Match Signals

NEW concede just 1.7 xGA per match vs Luton Town's NaN. That gap should show in chance quality

FavoursNEWSubscribers see the evidence behind this

Newcastle United

Last 9 away games2W · 1D · 6L · 22% wins

Struggling away (leaky at the back)

1.2 goals per game (xG expected: 1.2)

On track

1.8 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.5)

Below expected

Player
Gordon NEW	0.49	0.29	2.17	88
Murphy NEW	0.47	0.19	1.81	82
Baptiste LUT	0.46	0.31	0.59	-

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Luton Town

Newcastle United

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

NEW(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.63

0.795th

0.378th

0.552nd

0.323rd

0.2910th

0.0018th

0.1113th

0.1115th

0.1114th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did the defensive gap show in chance quality?

Did either side beat their xG?

Come back after the final whistle.

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Player
Gordon NEW	0.49	0.29	2.17	88
Murphy NEW	0.47	0.19	1.81	82
Baptiste LUT	0.46	0.31	0.59	-

26 more players, opponent-adjusted columns and last-6 trendsSign Up Sign Up

Luton TownLuton
1-0
Newcastle UtdNewcastle
Townsend 24'

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

NEW

NEW

LUT

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

NEW

NEW

LUT

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

NEW

NEW

LUT

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Newcastle United formWDLLL

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

NEW

NEW

LUT