Luton Town vs Tottenham Preview: What the xG Data Says

Premier League 2023/2024

07 Oct 11:30

J. Brooks

This match has been played.

Pre-Match Signals

Luton Town build from the back against one of the league's more aggressive presses, creating transition opportunities for TOT

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TOT concede just 1.7 xGA per match vs Luton Town's NaN. That gap should show in chance quality

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A stark contrast in approach: Luton Town skip the midfield while TOT control tempo, creating a pattern clash

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Tottenham Hotspur

Last 10 away games3W · 3D · 4L · 30% wins

Solid form (clinical finishing)

1.3 goals per game (xG expected: 1.0)

Above expected

1.7 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.8)

On track

Player
Solanke TOT	0.55	0.44	2.24	77
Richarlison TOT	0.59	0.50	2.94	68
Maddison TOT	0.50	0.24	2.19	75

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Luton Town

Tottenham Hotspur

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

TOT(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.50

0.823rd

0.1117th

0.505th

0.1613th

0.422nd

0.167th

0.1112th

0.187th

0.0517th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did the press force the turnovers we expected?

Did the defensive gap show in chance quality?

Which style came out on top, direct or possession?

Come back after the final whistle.

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Player
Solanke TOT	0.55	0.44	2.24	77
Richarlison TOT	0.59	0.50	2.94	68
Maddison TOT	0.50	0.24	2.19	75

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Luton TownLuton
0-1
TottenhamTottenham

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

TOT

TOT

TOT

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

TOT

TOT

TOT

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

TOT

TOT

TOT

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Tottenham Hotspur formLLDDL

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

TOT

TOT

TOT