Manchester City vs Crystal Palace Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

See full analysis

Pre-Match Signals

CRY build from the back against one of the league's more aggressive presses, creating transition opportunities for MCI

FavoursMCISubscribers see the evidence behind this

Goals are diverging from expected levels on both sides, suggesting regression could hit either team's attack

Subscribers see the evidence behind this

Combined xG profiles point to 3.4+ goals. Expect early action rather than a cagey start

Subscribers see the evidence behind this

Manchester City

Last 10 home games8W · 2D · 0L · 80% wins

Strong at home (clinical finishing)

2.6 goals per game (xG expected: 2.4)

Above expected

0.6 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.2)

Outperforming

Crystal Palace

Last 10 away games4W · 1D · 5L · 40% wins

Solid form (wasteful in front of goal)

1.0 goals per game (xG expected: 1.2)

Below expected

1.3 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.6)

Above expected

Player
Haaland MCI	1.02	0.73	3.56	99
Mateta CRY	0.50	0.38	1.61	64
Johnson CRY	0.53	0.33	1.75	84

27 more players, opponent-adjusted columns and last-6 trendsSign Up

Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Manchester City

Crystal Palace

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

MCI(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.34

0.3917th

0.2613th

0.2117th

0.1314th

0.0818th

0.0516th

0.0318th

0.0518th

0.139th

CRY(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.50

0.5015th

0.395th

0.3710th

0.342nd

0.299th

0.166th

0.1111th

0.1312th

0.212nd

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did the press force the turnovers we expected?

Did finishing regression show up, or did luck hold?

Was the game as open as the xG profiles suggested?

Come back after the final whistle.

Manchester CityMan City
2-2
Crystal PalaceC. Palace
Grealish 23'
Lewis 53'

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

MCI

CRY

CRY

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

MCI

CRY

CRY

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

MCI

CRY

CRY

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Crystal Palace formDLLDW

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

MCI

CRY

CRY