Newcastle Utd vs Brentford Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

BRE concede disproportionate xG through their right side, exactly where NEW focus their attacks

FavoursNEWSubscribers see the evidence behind this

Combined xG profiles point to 3.8+ goals. Expect early action rather than a cagey start

Subscribers see the evidence behind this

Three straight defeats will affect their approach. Expect a cautious opening from NEW

FavoursBRESubscribers see the evidence behind this

Newcastle United

Last 11 home games6W · 2D · 3L · 55% wins

Solid form (wasteful in front of goal)

1.9 goals per game (xG expected: 2.3)

Below expected

1.5 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.5)

On track

Brentford

Last 10 away games5W · 0D · 5L · 50% wins

Solid form (solid defence)

1.3 goals per game (xG expected: 1.4)

On track

1.4 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.7)

Above expected

Player
Gordon NEW	0.49	0.29	2.17	88
Lewis-Potter BRE	0.58	0.54	2.29	76
Murphy NEW	0.47	0.19	1.81	82

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Newcastle United

Brentford

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

NEW(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.63

0.795th

0.378th

0.552nd

0.323rd

0.2910th

0.0018th

0.1113th

0.1115th

0.1114th

BRE(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.87

0.766th

0.376th

0.426th

0.1610th

0.325th

0.138th

0.241st

0.261st

0.211st

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did the channel advantage actually produce chances?

Was the game as open as the xG profiles suggested?

Did the struggling side show signs of recovery?

Come back after the final whistle.

Newcastle UtdNewcastle
1-0
BrentfordBrentford
Wilson (P) 63'

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

NEW

BRE

NEW

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

NEW

BRE

NEW

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

NEW

BRE

NEW

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Brentford formWLLWW

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

NEW

BRE

NEW