Newcastle Utd vs Crystal Palace Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

CRY concede disproportionate xG through their right side, exactly where NEW focus their attacks

FavoursNEWSubscribers see the evidence behind this

Combined xG profiles point to 3.6+ goals. Expect early action rather than a cagey start

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Goals are diverging from expected levels on both sides, suggesting regression could hit either team's attack

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Newcastle United

Last 11 home games6W · 2D · 3L · 55% wins

Solid form (wasteful in front of goal)

1.9 goals per game (xG expected: 2.3)

Below expected

1.5 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.5)

On track

Crystal Palace

Last 10 away games4W · 1D · 5L · 40% wins

Solid form (wasteful in front of goal)

1.0 goals per game (xG expected: 1.2)

Below expected

1.3 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.6)

Above expected

Player
Mateta CRY	0.50	0.38	1.61	64
Gordon NEW	0.49	0.29	2.17	88
Johnson CRY	0.53	0.33	1.75	84

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Newcastle United

Crystal Palace

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

NEW(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.63

0.795th

0.378th

0.552nd

0.323rd

0.2910th

0.0018th

0.1113th

0.1115th

0.1114th

CRY(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.50

0.5015th

0.395th

0.3710th

0.342nd

0.299th

0.166th

0.1111th

0.1312th

0.212nd

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did the channel advantage actually produce chances?

Was the game as open as the xG profiles suggested?

Did finishing regression show up, or did luck hold?

Come back after the final whistle.

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

CRY

NEW

CRY

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Newcastle UtdNewcastle
4-0
Crystal PalaceC. Palace
Murphy 3'
Gordon 43'
Longstaff

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

CRY

NEW

CRY

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

CRY

NEW

CRY

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Crystal Palace formDLLDW

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

CRY

NEW

CRY