Sheffield Utd vs Crystal Palace Preview: What the xG Data Says

Premier League 2023/2024

GW1

12 Aug 14:00

J. Brooks

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

They're creating more than they're finishing. If conversion regresses to the mean, expect more goals from CRY

FavoursCRYSubscribers see the evidence behind this

CRY concede just 1.8 xGA per match vs Sheffield United's NaN. That gap should show in chance quality

FavoursCRYSubscribers see the evidence behind this

A stark contrast in approach: Sheffield United skip the midfield while CRY control tempo, creating a pattern clash

Subscribers see the evidence behind this

Crystal Palace

Last 10 away games4W · 1D · 5L · 40% wins

Solid form (wasteful in front of goal)

1.0 goals per game (xG expected: 1.2)

Below expected

1.3 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.6)

Above expected

Player
Mateta CRY	0.50	0.38	1.61	64
Johnson CRY	0.53	0.33	1.75	84
Nketiah CRY	0.43	0.42	2.28	28

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Sheffield United

Crystal Palace

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

CRY(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.50

0.5015th

0.395th

0.3710th

0.342nd

0.299th

0.166th

0.1111th

0.1312th

0.212nd

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did finishing regression show up, or did luck hold?

Did the defensive gap show in chance quality?

Which style came out on top, direct or possession?

Come back after the final whistle.

Sheffield United form

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Player
Mateta CRY	0.50	0.38	1.61	64
Johnson CRY	0.53	0.33	1.75	84
Nketiah CRY	0.43	0.42	2.28	28

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Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd
0-1
Crystal PalaceC. Palace

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

CRY

CRY

CRY

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

CRY

CRY

CRY

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

CRY

CRY

CRY

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Crystal Palace formDLLDW

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

CRY

CRY

CRY