Tottenham vs Newcastle Utd Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

Combined xG profiles point to 3.4+ goals. Expect early action rather than a cagey start

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Three straight defeats will affect their approach. Expect a cautious opening from NEW

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A stark contrast in approach: NEW skip the midfield while TOT control tempo, creating a pattern clash

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Tottenham Hotspur

Last 10 home games1W · 4D · 5L · 10% wins

Struggling at home (leaky at the back)

1.2 goals per game (xG expected: 1.3)

On track

1.5 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.2)

Below expected

Newcastle United

Last 9 away games2W · 1D · 6L · 22% wins

Struggling away (leaky at the back)

1.2 goals per game (xG expected: 1.2)

On track

1.8 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.5)

Below expected

Player
Solanke TOT	0.55	0.44	2.24	77
Richarlison TOT	0.59	0.50	2.94	68
Maddison TOT	0.50	0.24	2.19	75

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Tottenham Hotspur

Newcastle United

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

TOT(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.50

0.823rd

0.1117th

0.505th

0.1613th

0.422nd

0.167th

0.1112th

0.187th

0.0517th

NEW(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.63

0.795th

0.378th

0.552nd

0.323rd

0.2910th

0.0018th

0.1113th

0.1115th

0.1114th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Was the game as open as the xG profiles suggested?

Did the struggling side show signs of recovery?

Which style came out on top, direct or possession?

Come back after the final whistle.

TottenhamTottenham
4-1
Newcastle UtdNewcastle
Udogie 25'
Richarlison 37'
Richarlison

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

TOT

TOT

TOT

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

TOT

TOT

TOT

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

TOT

TOT

TOT

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Newcastle United formWDLLL

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

TOT

TOT

TOT