West Ham Utd vs Arsenal Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

ARS concede just 0.5 xGA per match vs WHU's 1.5. That gap should show in chance quality

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WHU build from the back against one of the league's more aggressive presses, creating transition opportunities for ARS

FavoursARSSubscribers see the evidence behind this

ARS win 60% on the road while WHU manage just 33% at home, undermining any home edge

FavoursARSSubscribers see the evidence behind this

West Ham United

Last 9 home games3W · 1D · 5L · 33% wins

Solid form (clinical finishing)

1.6 goals per game (xG expected: 1.4)

Above expected

1.8 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.4)

Below expected

Arsenal

Last 10 away games6W · 3D · 1L · 60% wins

Solid form

1.7 goals per game (xG expected: 1.8)

On track

0.8 conceded per game (xGA expected: 0.8)

On track

Player
Saka ARS	0.77	0.36	2.99	98
Wilson WHU	0.80	0.63	2.86	89
Eze ARS	0.56	0.31	3.10	89

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

West Ham United

Arsenal

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

WHU(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

3.00

0.921st

0.393rd

0.504th

0.1612th

0.327th

0.261st

0.0815th

0.243rd

0.138th

ARS(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.21

0.3218th

0.1118th

0.1318th

0.1315th

0.1317th

0.1313th

0.1114th

0.0817th

0.0816th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

ARS

WHU

ARS

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

West Ham UtdWest Ham
0-6
ArsenalArsenal

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

ARS

WHU

ARS

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

ARS

WHU

ARS

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Arsenal formDDLWW

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

ARS

WHU

ARS