West Ham Utd vs Brentford Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

See full analysis

Pre-Match Signals

BRE concede disproportionate xG through their left side, exactly where WHU focus their attacks

FavoursWHUSubscribers see the evidence behind this

Combined xG profiles point to 3.4+ goals. Expect early action rather than a cagey start

Subscribers see the evidence behind this

Both teams have won at least 2 of their last 3, setting up a genuine form clash with no clear edge

Subscribers see the evidence behind this

West Ham United

Last 9 home games3W · 1D · 5L · 33% wins

Solid form (clinical finishing)

1.6 goals per game (xG expected: 1.4)

Above expected

1.8 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.4)

Below expected

Brentford

Last 10 away games5W · 0D · 5L · 50% wins

Solid form (solid defence)

1.3 goals per game (xG expected: 1.4)

On track

1.4 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.7)

Above expected

Player
Bowen WHU	0.51	0.36	2.13	70
Wilson WHU	0.80	0.63	2.86	89
Lewis-Potter BRE	0.58	0.54	2.29	76

23 more players, opponent-adjusted columns and last-6 trendsSign Up

Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

West Ham United

Brentford

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

WHU(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

3.00

0.921st

0.393rd

0.504th

0.1612th

0.327th

0.261st

0.0815th

0.243rd

0.138th

BRE(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.87

0.766th

0.376th

0.426th

0.1610th

0.325th

0.138th

0.241st

0.261st

0.211st

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did the channel advantage actually produce chances?

Was the game as open as the xG profiles suggested?

Which side's form held up under pressure?

Come back after the final whistle.

West Ham UtdWest Ham
4-2
BrentfordBrentford
Bowen 4'
Bowen 6'
Bowen

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

WHU

WHU

BRE

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

WHU

WHU

BRE

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

WHU

WHU

BRE

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Brentford formWLLWW

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

WHU

WHU

BRE