West Ham Utd vs Chelsea Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

WHU concede disproportionate xG through their centre, exactly where CHE focus their attacks

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Combined xG profiles point to 3.5+ goals. Expect early action rather than a cagey start

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A stark contrast in approach: WHU skip the midfield while CHE control tempo, creating a pattern clash

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West Ham United

Last 9 home games3W · 1D · 5L · 33% wins

Solid form (clinical finishing)

1.6 goals per game (xG expected: 1.4)

Above expected

1.8 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.4)

Below expected

Chelsea

Last 10 away games5W · 3D · 2L · 50% wins

Solid form (wasteful in front of goal)

1.7 goals per game (xG expected: 1.9)

Below expected

1.0 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.6)

Outperforming

Player
Palmer CHE	0.79	0.30	3.20	98
Pedro CHE	0.70	0.41	2.75	91
Wilson WHU	0.80	0.63	2.86	89

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

West Ham United

Chelsea

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

WHU(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

3.00

0.921st

0.393rd

0.504th

0.1612th

0.327th

0.261st

0.0815th

0.243rd

0.138th

CHE(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.42

0.6111th

0.3410th

0.3411th

0.189th

0.423rd

0.1312th

0.0816th

0.1610th

0.167th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

West Ham UtdWest Ham
3-1
ChelseaChelsea
Aguerd 6'
Gregory 52'
Paquetà (P)

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

CHE

CHE

WHU

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

CHE

CHE

WHU

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

CHE

CHE

WHU

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Chelsea formLWWWW

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

CHE

CHE

WHU