Wolverhampton vs Everton Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

They're creating more than they're finishing. If conversion regresses to the mean, expect more goals from WOL

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WOL concede disproportionate xG through their left side, exactly where EVE focus their attacks

FavoursEVESubscribers see the evidence behind this

Three straight defeats will affect their approach. Expect a cautious opening from WOL

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Wolverhampton Wanderers

Last 10 home games1W · 2D · 7L · 10% wins

Struggling at home (wasteful in front of goal)

0.8 goals per game (xG expected: 1.3)

Below expected

1.8 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.8)

On track

Everton

Last 10 away games5W · 3D · 2L · 50% wins

Solid form (solid defence)

0.9 goals per game (xG expected: 1.0)

On track

0.7 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.6)

Outperforming

Player
Hee-Chan WOL	0.44	0.33	1.51	50
Beto EVE	0.49	0.42	2.95	25
McNeil EVE	0.39	0.11	1.59	70

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Everton

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

WOL(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.58

0.767th

0.394th

0.397th

0.1117th

0.298th

0.1310th

0.184th

0.169th

0.166th

EVE(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.95

0.5812th

0.2116th

0.2914th

0.268th

0.1315th

0.1311th

0.168th

0.1313th

0.0518th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did finishing regression show up, or did luck hold?

Did the channel advantage actually produce chances?

Did the struggling side show signs of recovery?

Come back after the final whistle.

WolverhamptonWolves
3-0
EvertonEverton
Kilman 24'
Cunha 52'
Dawson

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

WOL

EVE

EVE

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

WOL

EVE

EVE

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

WOL

EVE

EVE

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Everton formDWDDW

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

WOL

EVE

EVE