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See full analysisLow xG on both sides suggests a tight tactical battle 20th-placed Burnley (1.0 xG/match) host 19th-placed Wolverhampton Wanderers (0.9 xG/match). Burnley have 16 points but their underlying data suggests 31 expected points, hinting at better results ahead.
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WOL concede disproportionate xG through their left side, exactly where BUR focus their attacks
FavoursBURSubscribers see the evidence behind thisTheir recent conversion outpaces xG by 40%. If chance volume drops, the goals could dry up
FavoursBURSubscribers see the evidence behind thisWOL concede just 1.9 xGA per match vs BUR's 2.3. That gap should show in chance quality
FavoursWOLSubscribers see the evidence behind this
BurnleyStruggling at home (wasteful in front of goal)
Wolverhampton WanderersStruggling away (wasteful in front of goal)
How these teams play and where the match could be decided
Burnley
Wolverhampton WanderersSee your squad's players in this match
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BUR(17 matches)WOL(17 matches)Burnley formIn-form players who could decide this match
Hwang Hee-Chan
CF
