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ScheduleDifficulty
Fixtures & ResultsDifficulty Ratings

Premier League fixture difficulty ratings (FDR) and fixture ticker 26/27

Manchester City logoBest attacking runManchester City1.6Arsenal logoBest defensive runArsenal1.9Newcastle United logoHardest runNewcastle United3.7Brighton logoTurns easier · GW10Brighton3.5 → 2.4Aston Villa logoTurns easier · GW11Aston Villa3.3 → 2.2Newcastle United logoTurns harder · GW10Newcastle United3.1 → 4.1Leeds United logoTurns easier · GW10Leeds United3.4 → 2.4Hull City logoTurns harder · GW10Hull City2.6 → 3.6Bournemouth logoTurns easier · GW9Bournemouth3.2 → 2.3

Remaining fixtures: GW6 to GW20. Averages cover the fixtures shown; a team without one ranks last.

xG Stat’s ratings combine team attacking and defensive strength with home advantage. Lower is easier on the 1–5 scale.

Team
GW6
GW7
GW8
GW9
GW10
GW11
GW12
GW13
GW14
GW15
GW16
GW17
GW18
GW19
GW20
Arsenal logo
ARS
HLEE1.2
▼ANFO2.5
HEVE1.2
ALIV3.1
HHUL1.2
▼ANEW2.3
HMCI2.3
ABRE2.8
ATOT2.2
HBOU1.3
HMUN2.0
▼ACRY2.4
AFUL2.6
HIPS1.1
HBRE1.2
Manchester City logo
MCI
ALIV3.2
HIPS1.1
AAVL2.8
HBHA1.5
ANFO2.5
HFUL1.2
AARS3.9
HLEE1.4
ABRE2.8
▼HCHE1.5
HHUL1.2
ANEW2.3
▲AEVE2.6
HTOT1.0
ALEE2.8
Manchester United logo
MUN
HTOT1.1
ALEE3.0
HBOU1.6
ACHE3.1
▼HAVL1.4
ALIV3.4
HBRE1.4
ANEW2.6
HCOV1.2
ACRY2.7
AARS4.1
HNFO1.2
HSUN1.1
ABHA3.1
HNEW1.2
Liverpool logo
LIV
HMCI3.0
ABRE3.2
HBHA1.8
HARS2.9
ACRY3.0
HMUN2.7
AEVE3.0
HSUN1.3
▼ACHE3.4
HLEE1.7
HTOT1.3
AHUL3.1
AAVL3.3
HCOV1.3
ASUN2.8
Chelsea logo
CHE
HBOU2.3
AEVE3.3
HTOT1.5
HMUN3.0
ASUN3.0
HLEE2.2
ANFO3.3
HCRY1.6
▲HLIV2.7
AMCI4.6
HAVL2.2
ACOV3.2
AIPS3.2
HNEW1.6
ACRY3.2
Bournemouth logo
BOU
ACHE3.8
HSUN1.4
AMUN4.5
HLEE2.1
AIPS3.2
HNFO1.7
AFUL3.4
HBHA2.2
HHUL1.9
▲AARS4.7
▲HCOV1.6
ATOT3.1
ACRY3.2
HAVL2.1
▲ABHA3.8
Aston Villa logo
AVL
HBRE2.3
ANEW3.2
HMCI3.3
HFUL1.9
▲AMUN4.6
HSUN1.5
AIPS3.2
HEVE1.9
HCRY1.6
ACOV3.2
ACHE3.9
HLEE2.3
HLIV2.7
ABOU3.9
AEVE3.3
Brighton logo
BHA
ASUN3.0
HCRY1.6
ALIV4.3
AMCI4.6
HBRE2.2
AHUL3.4
HNEW1.6
ABOU4.0
ANFO3.3
HEVE1.8
HIPS1.6
AFUL3.4
ATOT3.1
HMUN3.0
▼HBOU2.4
Hull City logo
HUL
HEVE2.1
AFUL3.6
▼HBRE2.5
HIPS1.8
AARS4.8
HBHA2.6
▼ACRY3.4
HNFO2.0
ABOU4.2
HTOT1.8
AMCI4.8
HLIV2.9
▼HLEE2.5
ASUN3.2
▼ANFO3.5
Leeds United logo
LEE
AARS4.8
HMUN3.1
ASUN3.0
ABOU4.0
HTOT1.6
ACHE3.9
HCOV1.7
AMCI4.7
HIPS1.7
ALIV4.3
HFUL1.9
AAVL3.7
AHUL3.4
HEVE1.9
HMCI3.3
Brentford logo
BRE
AAVL3.8
HLIV2.8
AHUL3.5
HNFO1.8
ABHA3.9
HEVE1.9
AMUN4.6
HARS3.2
HMCI3.4
▼AFUL3.4
HNEW1.6
AIPS3.3
ACOV3.3
HCRY1.7
AARS4.8
Fulham logo
FUL
AIPS3.5
HHUL2.4
ACOV3.5
AAVL4.1
HNEW1.9
AMCI4.8
HBOU2.7
ATOT3.3
▲AEVE3.6
▲HBRE2.6
ALEE4.1
▲HBHA2.6
HARS3.4
ANFO3.5
HTOT1.8
Coventry City logo
COV
HNEW2.1
ATOT3.5
▼HFUL2.5
HSUN1.9
AEVE3.9
HCRY2.2
ALEE4.3
HIPS2.2
AMUN4.8
HAVL2.7
ABOU4.4
HCHE2.8
HBRE2.7
ALIV4.6
AIPS3.5
Everton logo
EVE
▲AHUL3.7
HCHE2.7
AARS4.8
▼ANEW3.4
HCOV2.0
ABRE4.0
HLIV2.9
AAVL4.0
HFUL2.3
ABHA4.1
ANFO3.6
HSUN1.8
▼HMCI3.5
ALEE4.0
HAVL2.6
Nottingham Forest logo
NFO
ACRY3.5
HARS3.4
AIPS3.4
ABRE4.1
HMCI3.6
ABOU4.3
HCHE2.7
AHUL3.8
HBHA2.7
ASUN3.3
HEVE2.3
AMUN4.8
▼ANEW3.4
HFUL2.4
HHUL2.4
Crystal Palace logo
CRY
HNFO2.4
ABHA4.4
HNEW2.2
ATOT3.5
HLIV3.0
ACOV3.7
▲HHUL2.6
ACHE4.4
AAVL4.3
HMUN3.4
ASUN3.4
HARS3.5
HBOU2.8
ABRE4.3
HCHE2.8
Ipswich Town logo
IPS
HFUL2.6
AMCI4.9
HNFO2.5
AHUL4.1
HBOU2.9
▲ATOT3.6
HAVL2.8
ACOV3.8
ALEE4.4
HNEW2.3
ABHA4.4
HBRE2.8
HCHE2.8
AARS4.9
HCOV2.5
Sunderland logo
SUN
HBHA2.9
ABOU4.6
HLEE2.9
ACOV4.0
HCHE2.9
AAVL4.4
HTOT2.3
ALIV4.7
ANEW3.9
▼HNFO2.5
▼HCRY2.5
AEVE4.0
AMUN4.9
HHUL2.7
HLIV3.1
Tottenham Hotspur logo
TOT
AMUN4.9
HCOV2.4
▼ACHE4.5
HCRY2.4
ALEE4.4
HIPS2.4
ASUN3.5
HFUL2.6
HARS3.7
AHUL4.1
ALIV4.7
HBOU2.9
HBHA2.9
AMCI5.0
AFUL4.1
Newcastle United logo
NEW
▲ACOV3.9
HAVL2.8
ACRY3.8
▲HEVE2.6
AFUL4.1
▲HARS3.6
ABHA4.5
HMUN3.5
HSUN2.0
▲AIPS3.8
ABRE4.4
HMCI3.9
HNFO2.5
ACHE4.5
AMUN4.9
Easier · Even · Harder1–5 · Lower is easier

26/27. How fixture difficulty works · Ratings updated 21 Sept 2026.

Using this for FPL? Read the xG Stat method.

About these ratings

A fixture difficulty rating (FDR) scores how hard each upcoming match is for a team on a 1 to 5 scale, where 1 is the easiest. Here it is built from each opponent's attacking and defensive expected goals, with an adjustment for home advantage, and shown as a fixture ticker across the gameweeks you choose.

The official rating is set by hand before the season and rarely moves. This one is refitted from expected goals as results come in, and it splits into an attacking rating (how easy the opponent is to score against) and a defensive rating (how likely a clean sheet is). A team can be an easy fixture for forwards and a hard one for defenders in the same week.

Every morning. The model is refitted daily at around 6am UK time, so the day after a round of matches the new expected goals are already in. The date under the grid shows the last update.

Pick the range of gameweeks you are planning for and sort by difficulty. Use the attack view for forwards and midfielders and the defence view for defenders and goalkeepers. The chips above the grid name the easiest and hardest runs over that range, and flag teams whose fixtures turn from hard to easy or back.