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Premier League fixture difficulty ratings (FDR) and fixture ticker 26/27

Manchester City logoBest attacking runManchester City1.8Arsenal logoBest defensive runArsenal1.8Ipswich Town logoHardest runIpswich Town3.9Tottenham Hotspur logoTurns harder · GW14Tottenham Hotspur2.4 → 3.7Coventry City logoTurns harder · GW14Coventry City3.2 → 4.3Brentford logoTurns easier · GW15Brentford3.8 → 2.7Manchester United logoTurns harder · GW15Manchester United1.8 → 2.9Manchester City logoTurns easier · GW15Manchester City2.6 → 1.5Aston Villa logoTurns harder · GW15Aston Villa2.2 → 3.0

Remaining fixtures: GW11 to GW25, easiest run first.

xG Stat’s ratings combine team attacking and defensive strength with home advantage. Lower is easier on the 1–5 scale.

Easier · Even · Harder1–5 · Lower is easier▲▼ changed band since last week
GW11
GW12
GW13
GW14
GW15
GW16
GW17
GW18
GW19
GW20
GW21
GW22
GW23
GW24
GW25
Arsenal logo
ARS
ANEW2.0
HMCI2.3
ABRE2.5
ATOT2.3
HBOU1.5
HMUN1.7
ACRY2.0
AFUL2.5
HIPS1.0
HBRE1.2
AHUL1.8
HNEW1.1
AMCI3.6
HLIV1.6
AIPS1.5▼
Manchester City logo
MCI
HFUL1.3
AARS3.7
HLEE1.4
ABRE2.6
HCHE1.5
HHUL1.0
ANEW2.1
AEVE2.4
HTOT1.2
ALEE2.8
HNFO1.3
ABHA2.8
HARS2.5
AFUL2.6▲
ATOT2.4
Manchester United logo
MUN
ALIV3.5
HBRE1.7
ANEW2.6
HCOV1.1
ACRY2.6
AARS4.3
HNFO1.7
HSUN1.2
ABHA3.2
HNEW1.3
AAVL3.2
HLIV2.3
ABRE3.1
HCHE1.9
HBHA1.9
Liverpool logo
LIV
HMUN2.5
AEVE2.9
HSUN1.3
ACHE3.3
HLEE1.9
HTOT1.5▼
AHUL2.4
AAVL3.2
HCOV1.1
ASUN2.5
HCRY1.3
AMUN3.8
HEVE1.5
AARS4.3
ACOV2.2
Bournemouth logo
BOU
HNFO1.9
AFUL3.2
HBHA2.1
HHUL1.2
AARS4.5
HCOV1.2
ATOT3.0
ACRY2.8
HAVL2.0
ABHA3.4
HIPS1.2
ANFO3.3
HFUL1.8
ALEE3.3
AAVL3.4
Aston Villa logo
AVL
HSUN1.6
AIPS2.7
HEVE2.0
HCRY1.8
ACOV2.7
ACHE3.8
HLEE2.5
HLIV2.8
ABOU4.1
AEVE3.3
HMUN2.9
AFUL3.5
HIPS1.4
ASUN3.0
HBOU2.7
Chelsea logo
CHE
HLEE2.4
ANFO3.5
HCRY1.7
HLIV2.8
AMCI4.6
HAVL2.3
ACOV2.7
AIPS2.6
HNEW1.6
ACRY3.1
HSUN1.5
ALEE3.6▲
HNFO2.3
AMUN4.2
ANEW3.1
Brighton logo
BHA
AHUL2.8
HNEW1.6
ABOU4.0
ANFO3.5
HEVE1.9
HIPS1.3
AFUL3.4
ATOT3.2
HMUN2.8
HBOU2.7
ABRE3.4
HMCI3.3
ANEW3.0
HHUL1.4
AMUN4.2
Leeds United logo
LEE
ACHE3.6
HCOV1.3
AMCI4.6
HIPS1.3
ALIV4.1
HFUL2.1
AAVL3.5▼
AHUL2.8
HEVE1.9
HMCI3.3
ATOT3.2
HCHE2.4▼
ACOV2.7
HBOU2.7
AEVE3.2
Nottingham Forest logo
NFO
ABOU4.1
HCHE2.5▼
AHUL2.8
HBHA2.5
ASUN3.0
HEVE2.0
AMUN4.3
ANEW3.1
HFUL2.2
HHUL1.5
AMCI4.7
HBOU2.8
ACHE3.7
HBRE2.3
AFUL3.5
Brentford logo
BRE
HEVE2.1
AMUN4.4
HARS3.4
HMCI3.5
AFUL3.5
HNEW1.8
AIPS2.8
ACOV2.8
HCRY1.9
AARS4.7
HBHA2.6
AEVE3.4
HMUN3.0
ANFO3.7
ACRY3.2
Tottenham Hotspur logo
TOT
HIPS1.5▼
ASUN3.2
HFUL2.5
HARS3.6
AHUL3.1
ALIV4.4
HBOU3.0
HBHA2.8
AMCI4.8
AFUL3.8
HLEE2.7▲
ACRY3.3
HSUN1.9
AIPS2.9
HMCI3.6
Everton logo
EVE
ABRE3.8
HLIV3.0
AAVL4.0
HFUL2.5
ABHA4.0
ANFO3.9
HSUN1.9
HMCI3.6
ALEE4.0
HAVL2.7
ACOV2.9
HBRE2.6
ALIV4.4
HNEW2.0
HLEE2.7
Fulham logo
FUL
AMCI4.8
HBOU2.9
ATOT3.4
AEVE3.4
HBRE2.5
ALEE3.8
HBHA2.6
HARS3.5
ANFO3.7
HTOT2.1
ANEW3.2
HAVL2.6
ABOU4.2
HMCI3.5▼
HNFO2.5
Crystal Palace logo
CRY
ACOV3.2
HHUL2.1
ACHE4.4
AAVL4.3
HMUN3.5
ASUN3.5
HARS4.0
HBOU3.3
ABRE4.2
HCHE3.0
ALIV4.7
HTOT2.7
AHUL3.3
HCOV1.9
HBRE2.9
Sunderland logo
SUN
AAVL4.4
HTOT2.6
ALIV4.6
ANEW3.7
HNFO2.9
HCRY2.5▼
AEVE3.9
AMUN4.8
HHUL2.2
HLIV3.4
ACHE4.4
HCOV2.0
ATOT3.9
HAVL3.0
AHUL3.4
Hull City logo
HUL
HBHA3.2
ACRY3.9
HNFO3.1
ABOU4.8
HTOT2.8
AMCI5.0
HLIV3.5▼
HLEE3.2
ASUN3.7
ANFO4.4
HARS4.1
AIPS3.4
HCRY2.6
ABHA4.5▼
HSUN2.4
Newcastle United logo
NEW
HARS3.9
ABHA4.4
HMUN3.4
HSUN2.2
AIPS3.2
ABRE4.2
HMCI4.0
HNFO2.9
ACHE4.4
AMUN4.7
HFUL2.8
AARS4.9
HBHA3.0
AEVE3.9
HCHE3.0
Coventry City logo
COV
HCRY2.8
ALEE4.6
HIPS2.3▼
AMUN4.9
HAVL3.3
ABOU4.8
HCHE3.3
HBRE3.2
ALIV4.9
AIPS3.5▼
HEVE3.0
ASUN3.9
HLEE3.3
ACRY4.2
HLIV3.7
Ipswich Town logo
IPS
ATOT4.5
HAVL3.4
ACOV3.7▲
ALEE4.7
HNEW2.9
ABHA4.8
HBRE3.3
HCHE3.5
AARS5.0
HCOV2.5
ABOU4.8
HHUL2.6▲
AAVL4.7
HTOT3.1
HARS4.5
How it worksGoals conceded by positionFPL strategy

26/27. Ratings updated 9 Nov 2026.

About these ratings

A fixture difficulty rating (FDR) scores how hard each upcoming match is for a team on a 1 to 5 scale, where 1 is the easiest. Here it is built from each opponent's attacking and defensive expected goals, with an adjustment for home advantage, and shown as a fixture ticker across the gameweeks you choose.

The official rating is set by hand before the season and rarely moves. This one is refitted from expected goals as results come in, and it splits into an attacking rating (how easy the opponent is to score against) and a defensive rating (how likely a clean sheet is). A team can be an easy fixture for forwards and a hard one for defenders in the same week.

Every morning. The model is refitted daily at around 6am UK time, so the day after a round of matches the new expected goals are already in. The date under the grid shows the last update.

Pick the range of gameweeks you are planning for and sort by difficulty. Use the attack view for forwards and midfielders and the defence view for defenders and goalkeepers. The chips above the grid name the easiest and hardest runs over that range, and flag teams whose fixtures turn from hard to easy or back.