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Premier League · GW11 · Sat 21 Nov
6% better than guessing. Over the last 100 settled matches in this competition, the model's pick was right 43% of the time. Its error score is 0.213 against 0.227 for guessing the usual home, draw and away split. Lower is better. This verdict draws on 20 matches.
Bournemouth favoured at home, but only just.
Season xG only, no line-ups.
Where each side attacks, and the biggest mismatch with the other's defence.
See which of your FPL players are in this match, who's nailed and who's a rotation risk, on every match preview.
Sync my FPL squadTeam ID only. Takes 30 seconds. Free.
