Tottenham Hotspur vs Brighton & Hove Albion preview, 30 Dec 2026: xG form

Tottenham Hotspur favoured at home, but only just.

TOT38%Draw28%BHA33%

Based on 12 matches played this season.

Tottenham1.4Brighton1.3

A 0.1 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Tottenham Hotspur attack205 chances

PROTottenham Hotspur attack report PROBrighton defence report

PROTottenham Hotspur shape report PROBrighton shape report

Tottenham Hotspur create most through the right, without a clear opening there.

Brighton attack192 chances

46%89 / 192

15%29 / 192

39%74 / 192

LeftCentreRight

LW0.00

CF0.40

RW0.00

CAM0.40

CDM0.00

CM0.20

LB0.20

CB0.00

RB0.40

Brighton create most through the left, without a clear opening there.

Your squad in this match

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Suggested picks

Player	Price	Owned
1P. Groß(C)MF	£6m	37.9%
2M. De CuyperDF	£5.1m	33.7%
3Savinho

PROFantasy hub, projections

38%called correctly

Error score

4% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.209 against 0.219 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

35%·49

50-60%

43%·7

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 60 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Your squad in this match

See which of your FPL players are in this match, who's nailed and who's a rotation risk, on every match preview.

Sync my FPL squad

Team ID only. Takes 30 seconds. Free.

Suggested picks

Player	Price	Owned
1P. Groß(C)MF	£6m	37.9%
2M. De CuyperDF	£5.1m	33.7%
3Savinho

PROFantasy hub, projections

Tottenham Hotspur Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Savinho	Corners L and R, 3 short	12	0.7
Tel	Corners L, 1 short	7	0.0
Fernandes	Corners L, 1 short	5	0.2
Maddison	Corners L and R, 1 short	4	0.0
Robertson	Free kicks	4	0.3
Robertson	Corners R, 1 short	3	0.1

Share of set-play xG

Throw-ins

40%

Corners

38%

Brighton Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Groß	Corners L and R, 2 short	19	1.5
Cuyper	Corners R, 1 short	13	0.6
Groß	Free kicks	8	0.4
Boscagli

PROTottenham Hotspur set pieces PROBrighton set pieces

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

What this match is worth to you

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

What this match is worth to you

Tottenham HotspurTottenham
vs
Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton

Set-piece takers

Key players

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Style ranks

What this match is worth to you

Form & Head-to-head

Tottenham Hotspur formLDDLD, most recent

Brighton formLDWWW, most recent

Head-to-head · last 5

Model accuracy

What this match is worth to you

Set-piece takers

Key players