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Fixtures & Results›GW22›CRY v TOT
Difficulty Ratings
Palace
vs14:00
Tottenham

Crystal PalacePalaceCrystal Palace logo
vs
Tottenham Hotspur logoTottenham HotspurTottenham

Premier League 2026/2027
GW22

23 Jan 14:00

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Model verdict

Medium confidence

Crystal Palace favoured at home, but only just.

CRY42%Draw28%TOT30%
Based on 12 matches played this season.

Projected xG

Crystal Palace logoPalace1.5Tottenham Hotspur logoTottenham1.2
A 0.3 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Tottenham Hotspur right vs Crystal Palace left
Crystal Palace attack138 chances
PROTottenham Hotspur attack reportPROCrystal Palace defence report

Position vs Expected Position

Crystal PalaceCRY12th → xPos 20thTottenham HotspurTOT19th → xPos 15th
table posxPosition
League table, expected points

Style ranks

PalaceTottenham
Settled · 6 GW
PROCrystal Palace shape reportPROTottenham Hotspur shape report
48%66 / 138
20%28 / 138
32%44 / 138
LeftCentreRight
LW0.40
CF1.00
RW0.60
CAM0.80
CDM0.20
CM0.00
LB0.60
CB0.00
RB0.00

Crystal Palace create most through the left, without a clear opening there.

Tottenham Hotspur attack205 chances
42%85 / 205
11%23 / 205
47%97 / 205
LeftCentreRight
LW0.20
CF0.40
RW0.40
CAM0.40
CDM0.60
CM0.00
LB0.20
CB0.00
RB0.40

Tottenham Hotspur's right side carries the load, and it meets Crystal Palace's softest flank.

Crystal Palace concede through the right channel
15th of 20
Leaks least in the leagueLeaks most
Last 6, goals vs xG
Crystal PalaceCRY9 scored from 9.7 xG-0.7
Tottenham HotspurTOT3 scored from 8.1 xG-5.1

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Last 60 matches
38%called correctly
Error score

4% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.209 against 0.219 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got
33-50%
35%·49
50-60%
43%·7
60-70%
67%·3
70-80%
100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 60 settled matchesAccuracy ledger
Sits deeperVery high line
ScrappyVery technical
Low intensityVery high intensity
Very lightFairly physical
CautiousTakes risks
Sits offMixed response
Possession-basedMixed build-up
Central playEven width

What this match is worth to you

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Suggested picks
PlayerPriceOwned
1Savinho(C)MF£6.5m0.7%
PROFantasy hub, projections

Set-piece takers

Crystal Palace logoCrystal Palace PlayerRoutineTakenxG
RichardsThrow-ins90.0
WhartonCorners L and R90.5
PinoCorners L70.5
PinoFree kicks70.1
WhartonFree kicks50.0
Share of set-play xG
Corners
64%
Free kicks
21%
Tottenham Hotspur logoTottenham Hotspur PlayerRoutineTakenxG
SavinhoCorners L and R, 3 short120.7
TelCorners L, 1 short70.0
FernandesCorners L, 1 short50.2
Maddison
PROCrystal Palace set piecesPROTottenham Hotspur set pieces
Corners L and R, 1 short
4
0.0
RobertsonFree kicks40.3
RobertsonCorners R, 1 short30.1
Share of set-play xG
Throw-ins
40%
Corners
38%

Key players

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set