Chelsea favoured at home, but only just.
Chelsea's right side carries the load, and it meets Nottingham Forest's softest flank.
Nottingham Forest lean right too, straight into Chelsea's stronger side.
CHE10 scored from 9.0 xG · 5 matches+1.0
NFO4 scored from 7.9 xG · 5 matches-3.93% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split
0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.
Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.
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| Player | Price | Owned |
|---|---|---|
| 1João Pedro(C)FW | £7.8m | 67.9% |
| 2C. PalmerMF | £9.7m | 26.8% |
| 3M. Rogers |
| £7.7m |
| 40.1% |
| Chelsea Player | Routine | Taken | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| James | Corners L and R | 10 | 0.0 |
| Neto | Corners R, 5 short | 9 | 0.3 |
| Henderson | Corners L, 3 short | 7 | 0.1 |
| James | Free kicks | 3 | 0.1 |
| Gusto | Corners L | 3 | 0.0 |
| Neto | Free kicks | 3 | 0.0 |
| Nottingham Forest Player | Routine | Taken | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| McAtee | Corners R | 11 | 0.7 |
| Aina | Throw-ins | 10 | 0.1 |
| Gibbs-White | Free kicks | 8 | 0.5 |
| Williams |
| Corners L |
| 6 |
| 0.8 |
| McAtee | Free kicks | 6 | 0.0 |
| Gibbs-White | Penalties | 1 | 0.8 |
