Manchester City vs Burnley Preview: What the xG Data Says

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Pre-Match Signals

MCI concede just 1.0 xGA per match vs BUR's 2.3. That gap should show in chance quality

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MCI win 67% at home while BUR win just 10% away. Venue form strongly favours the hosts

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MCI's clean sheet rate of 50% meets an attack generating just 1.1 xG per match

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Manchester City

Last 9 home games6W · 3D · 0L · 67% wins

Solid form (wasteful in front of goal)

2.2 goals per game (xG expected: 2.4)

Below expected

0.8 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.3)

Outperforming

Burnley

Last 10 away games1W · 3D · 6L · 10% wins

Struggling away (clinical finishing)

0.9 goals per game (xG expected: 0.7)

Above expected

2.0 conceded per game (xGA expected: 2.2)

Above expected

Players to Watch

In-form players who could decide this match

Manchester City

E. Haaland

CF0.87

xGI/90

0.87

Goals vs xG

4G vs 3.5

Assists vs xA

1A vs 0.3

R. Cherki

CAM

0G 1A0.66 xGI

J. Doku

3G 1A0.52 xGI

A. Semenyo

1G 0A0.47 xGI

Burnley

J. Anthony

WG0.26

xGI/90

0.26

Goals vs xG

1G vs 1.0

Assists vs xA

1A vs 0.4

Z. Flemming

2G 0A0.23 xGI

Player
Haaland MCI	0.79	0.64	3.20	99
Cherki MCI	0.66	0.25	2.44	96
Marmoush MCI	0.55	0.41	3.10	83

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Manchester City

Burnley

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

MCI(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.29

0.1820th

0.592nd

0.0619th

0.1811th

0.0020th

0.1814th

0.0616th

0.0020th

0.0618th

BUR(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.82

0.763rd

0.535th

0.472nd

0.1215th

0.1812th

0.294th

0.0613th

0.245th

0.186th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Manchester CityMan City
5-1
BurnleyBurnley
Estève (OG) 11'
Nunes 60'
Estève (OG) 64'
Haaland

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

MCI

MCI

MCI

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

MCI

MCI

MCI

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

MCI

MCI

MCI

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Burnley formLLDLL

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

MCI

MCI

MCI