Arsenal vs Bournemouth Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

ARS concede just 0.5 xGA per match vs BOU's 1.3. That gap should show in chance quality

FavoursARSSubscribers see the evidence behind this

Both teams defend high and press aggressively, which typically opens space in behind and increases transition frequency

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ARS win 80% at home while BOU win just 10% away. Venue form strongly favours the hosts

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Arsenal

Last 10 home games8W · 1D · 1L · 80% wins

Strong at home

2.2 goals per game (xG expected: 2.2)

On track

0.7 conceded per game (xGA expected: 0.7)

On track

Bournemouth

Last 10 away games1W · 5D · 4L · 10% wins

Struggling away (wasteful in front of goal)

1.8 goals per game (xG expected: 2.0)

Below expected

2.6 conceded per game (xGA expected: 2.6)

On track

Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Arsenal

Bournemouth

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

ARS(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.21

0.3218th

0.1118th

0.1318th

0.1315th

0.1317th

0.1313th

0.1114th

0.0817th

0.0816th

BOU(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.66

0.5513th

0.661st

0.503rd

0.1611th

0.344th

0.1114th

0.166th

0.1114th

0.0815th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did the defensive gap show in chance quality?

Did the high lines create the open, stretched game we expected?

Did home advantage prove decisive?

Come back after the final whistle.

ArsenalArsenal
3-0
BournemouthBournemouth
Saka (P) 44'
Trossard 69'
Rice

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Bournemouth formWDWWD

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience