Aston Villa vs Fulham Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

AVL concede disproportionate xG through their left side, exactly where FUL focus their attacks

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AVL win 80% at home while FUL win just 30% away. Venue form strongly favours the hosts

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AVL concede just 1.4 xGA per match vs FUL's 1.8. That gap should show in chance quality

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Aston Villa

Last 10 home games8W · 0D · 2L · 80% wins

Strong at home (solid defence)

1.8 goals per game (xG expected: 1.9)

On track

0.7 conceded per game (xGA expected: 0.9)

Above expected

Fulham

Last 10 away games3W · 1D · 6L · 30% wins

Solid form

1.2 goals per game (xG expected: 1.3)

On track

1.8 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.8)

On track

Player
Watkins AVL	0.60	0.45	2.34	87
Muniz FUL	0.63	0.58	3.06	81
Bobb FUL	0.72	0.32	0.73	-

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Aston Villa

Fulham

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

AVL(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.61

0.872nd

0.2414th

0.2915th

0.296th

0.1316th

0.183rd

0.242nd

0.188th

0.184th

FUL(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.29

0.748th

0.2911th

0.3213th

0.295th

0.1813th

0.1115th

0.185th

0.0816th

0.1113th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Aston VillaVilla
3-1
FulhamFulham
Robinson (OG) 26'
McGinn 41'
Watkins

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

AVL

FUL

FUL

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

AVL

FUL

FUL

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

AVL

FUL

FUL

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Fulham formWLWLL

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

AVL

FUL

FUL