Aston Villa vs Tottenham Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

See full analysis

Pre-Match Signals

AVL win 80% at home while TOT win just 30% away. Venue form strongly favours the hosts

FavoursAVLSubscribers see the evidence behind this

Aston Villa

Last 10 home games8W · 0D · 2L · 80% wins

Strong at home (solid defence)

1.8 goals per game (xG expected: 1.9)

On track

0.7 conceded per game (xGA expected: 0.9)

Above expected

Tottenham Hotspur

Last 10 away games3W · 3D · 4L · 30% wins

Solid form (clinical finishing)

1.3 goals per game (xG expected: 1.0)

Above expected

1.7 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.8)

On track

Player
Watkins AVL	0.60	0.45	2.34	87
Richarlison TOT	0.59	0.50	2.94	68
Bailey AVL	0.58	0.23	1.80	85

37 more players, opponent-adjusted columns and last-6 trendsSign Up

Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Aston Villa

Tottenham Hotspur

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

AVL(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.61

0.872nd

0.2414th

0.2915th

0.296th

0.1316th

0.183rd

0.242nd

0.188th

0.184th

TOT(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.50

0.823rd

0.1117th

0.505th

0.1613th

0.422nd

0.167th

0.1112th

0.187th

0.0517th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did home advantage prove decisive?

Did either side beat their xG?

Come back after the final whistle.

Aston VillaVilla
0-4
TottenhamTottenham

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

AVL

TOT

AVL

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

AVL

TOT

AVL

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

AVL

TOT

AVL

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Tottenham Hotspur formLLDDL

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

AVL

TOT

AVL