Aston Villa vs West Ham Utd Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

AVL concede disproportionate xG through their left side, exactly where WHU focus their attacks

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AVL win 80% at home while WHU win just 18% away. Venue form strongly favours the hosts

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A stark contrast in approach: WHU skip the midfield while AVL control tempo, creating a pattern clash

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Aston Villa

Last 10 home games8W · 0D · 2L · 80% wins

Strong at home (solid defence)

1.8 goals per game (xG expected: 1.9)

On track

0.7 conceded per game (xGA expected: 0.9)

Above expected

West Ham United

Last 11 away games2W · 4D · 5L · 18% wins

Struggling away (wasteful in front of goal)

1.1 goals per game (xG expected: 1.3)

Below expected

1.7 conceded per game (xGA expected: 2.3)

Outperforming

Player
Watkins AVL	0.60	0.45	2.34	87
Wilson WHU	0.80	0.63	2.86	89
Bailey AVL	0.58	0.23	1.80	85

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Aston Villa

West Ham United

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

AVL(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.61

0.872nd

0.2414th

0.2915th

0.296th

0.1316th

0.183rd

0.242nd

0.188th

0.184th

WHU(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

3.00

0.921st

0.393rd

0.504th

0.1612th

0.327th

0.261st

0.0815th

0.243rd

0.138th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did the channel advantage actually produce chances?

Did home advantage prove decisive?

Which style came out on top, direct or possession?

Come back after the final whistle.

Aston VillaVilla
4-1
West Ham UtdWest Ham
Luiz 29'
Luiz (P) 51'
Watkins

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

AVL

WHU

AVL

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

AVL

WHU

AVL

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

AVL

WHU

AVL

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

West Ham United formLWWLW

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

AVL

WHU

AVL