Bournemouth vs Manchester City Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

BOU build from the back against one of the league's more aggressive presses, creating transition opportunities for MCI

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A stark contrast in approach: BOU skip the midfield while MCI control tempo, creating a pattern clash

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Combined xG profiles point to 3.3+ goals. Expect early action rather than a cagey start

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Bournemouth

Last 10 home games4W · 4D · 2L · 40% wins

Solid form (leaky at the back)

1.7 goals per game (xG expected: 1.7)

On track

1.3 conceded per game (xGA expected: 0.9)

Below expected

Manchester City

Last 10 away games5W · 2D · 3L · 50% wins

Solid form

1.6 goals per game (xG expected: 1.7)

On track

1.3 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.3)

On track

Player
Haaland MCI	1.02	0.73	3.56	99
Ünal BOU	0.57	0.55	3.81	-
Brooks BOU	0.62	0.44	3.15	-

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Bournemouth

Manchester City

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

BOU(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.66

0.5513th

0.661st

0.503rd

0.1611th

0.344th

0.1114th

0.166th

0.1114th

0.0815th

MCI(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.34

0.3917th

0.2613th

0.2117th

0.1314th

0.0818th

0.0516th

0.0318th

0.0518th

0.139th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did the press force the turnovers we expected?

Which style came out on top, direct or possession?

Was the game as open as the xG profiles suggested?

Come back after the final whistle.

BournemouthBournemouth
0-1
Manchester CityMan City

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

MCI

BOU

BOU

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

MCI

BOU

BOU

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

MCI

BOU

BOU

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Manchester City formDLWDW

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

MCI

BOU

BOU