Burnley vs Bournemouth Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

BOU concede just 1.3 xGA per match vs BUR's 2.0. That gap should show in chance quality

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BUR concede disproportionate xG through their centre, exactly where BOU focus their attacks

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A stark contrast in approach: BOU skip the midfield while BUR control tempo, creating a pattern clash

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Burnley

Last 10 home games1W · 3D · 6L · 10% wins

Struggling at home

0.9 goals per game (xG expected: 1.0)

On track

1.7 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.8)

On track

Bournemouth

Last 10 away games1W · 5D · 4L · 10% wins

Struggling away (wasteful in front of goal)

1.8 goals per game (xG expected: 2.0)

Below expected

2.6 conceded per game (xGA expected: 2.6)

On track

Player
B. Larsen BUR	0.46	0.31	2.57	68
Ünal BOU	0.57	0.55	3.81	-
Brooks BOU	0.62	0.44	3.15	-

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Burnley

Bournemouth

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

BUR(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

3.29

0.794th

0.392nd

0.791st

0.294th

0.326th

0.242nd

0.167th

0.214th

0.1112th

BOU(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.66

0.5513th

0.661st

0.503rd

0.1611th

0.344th

0.1114th

0.166th

0.1114th

0.0815th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

BurnleyBurnley
0-2
BournemouthBournemouth

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

BUR

BOU

BOU

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

BUR

BOU

BOU

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

BUR

BOU

BOU

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Bournemouth formWDWWD

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

BUR

BOU

BOU