Burnley vs Manchester Utd Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

MUN concede just 0.9 xGA per match vs BUR's 2.0. That gap should show in chance quality

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Three straight wins and the underlying data supports the run, not just results

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Burnley

Last 10 home games1W · 3D · 6L · 10% wins

Struggling at home

0.9 goals per game (xG expected: 1.0)

On track

1.7 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.8)

On track

Manchester United

Last 10 away games4W · 4D · 2L · 40% wins

Solid form (leaky at the back)

2.0 goals per game (xG expected: 1.9)

On track

1.7 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.5)

Below expected

Player
Fernandes MUN	0.55	0.16	2.40	84
Mbeumo MUN	0.62	0.25	2.07	93
B. Larsen BUR	0.46	0.31	2.57	68

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Burnley

Manchester United

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

BUR(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

3.29

0.794th

0.392nd

0.791st

0.294th

0.326th

0.242nd

0.167th

0.214th

0.1112th

MUN(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.42

0.5314th

0.2912th

0.398th

0.297th

0.2112th

0.184th

0.1310th

0.262nd

0.1311th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

BurnleyBurnley
0-1
Manchester UtdMan Utd

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

MUN

MUN

BUR

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

MUN

MUN

BUR

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

MUN

MUN

BUR

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Manchester United formDWWWW

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

MUN

MUN

BUR