Everton vs Aston Villa Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

AVL concede disproportionate xG through their left side, exactly where EVE focus their attacks

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A stark contrast in approach: EVE skip the midfield while AVL control tempo, creating a pattern clash

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AVL win 60% on the road while EVE manage just 30% at home, undermining any home edge

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Everton

Last 10 home games3W · 3D · 4L · 30% wins

Solid form

1.3 goals per game (xG expected: 1.4)

On track

1.6 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.5)

On track

Aston Villa

Last 10 away games6W · 2D · 2L · 60% wins

Solid form (clinical finishing)

1.7 goals per game (xG expected: 1.3)

Above expected

1.5 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.8)

Above expected

Player
Watkins AVL	0.60	0.45	2.34	87
Bailey AVL	0.58	0.23	1.80	85
Elliott AVL	0.50	0.22	2.84	96

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Everton

Aston Villa

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

EVE(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.95

0.5812th

0.2116th

0.2914th

0.268th

0.1315th

0.1311th

0.168th

0.1313th

0.0518th

AVL(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.61

0.872nd

0.2414th

0.2915th

0.296th

0.1316th

0.183rd

0.242nd

0.188th

0.184th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

EvertonEverton
0-0
Aston VillaVilla

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

AVL

AVL

AVL

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

AVL

AVL

AVL

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

AVL

AVL

AVL

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Aston Villa formDLWLD

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

AVL

AVL

AVL