Fulham vs Nottingham Forest Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

FUL concede disproportionate xG through their left side, exactly where NFO focus their attacks

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Their recent conversion outpaces xG by 33%. If chance volume drops, the goals could dry up

FavoursFULSubscribers see the evidence behind this

Fulham

Last 10 home games5W · 1D · 4L · 50% wins

Solid form (clinical finishing)

1.7 goals per game (xG expected: 1.4)

Above expected

1.4 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.4)

On track

Nottingham Forest

Last 10 away games4W · 0D · 6L · 40% wins

Solid form (solid defence)

1.0 goals per game (xG expected: 0.9)

On track

1.5 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.8)

Above expected

Player
Muniz FUL	0.63	0.58	3.06	81
Wood NFO	0.55	0.49	1.93	74
Bobb FUL	0.72	0.32	0.73	-

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Fulham

Nottingham Forest

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

FUL(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.29

0.748th

0.2911th

0.3213th

0.295th

0.1813th

0.1115th

0.185th

0.0816th

0.1113th

NFO(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.82

0.719th

0.349th

0.3212th

0.391st

0.531st

0.165th

0.0317th

0.186th

0.165th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

FUL

NFO

FUL

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

FulhamFulham
5-0
Nottingham ForestForest
Iwobi 29'
Jiménez 33'
Jiménez

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

FUL

NFO

FUL

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

FUL

NFO

FUL

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Nottingham Forest formWDWDL

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

FUL

NFO

FUL