Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

LIV concede just 1.2 xGA per match vs NFO's 1.8. That gap should show in chance quality

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NFO build from the back against one of the league's more aggressive presses, creating transition opportunities for LIV

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Their recent conversion outpaces xG by 33%. If chance volume drops, the goals could dry up

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Liverpool

Last 10 home games4W · 3D · 3L · 40% wins

Solid form (wasteful in front of goal)

1.4 goals per game (xG expected: 1.8)

Below expected

1.1 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.2)

On track

Nottingham Forest

Last 10 away games4W · 0D · 6L · 40% wins

Solid form (solid defence)

1.0 goals per game (xG expected: 0.9)

On track

1.5 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.8)

Above expected

Player
Salah LIV	0.95	0.50	3.61	99
Isak LIV	0.68	0.45	2.58	97
Wood NFO	0.55	0.49	1.93	74

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Liverpool

Nottingham Forest

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

LIV(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.66

0.4216th

0.2415th

0.2916th

0.0318th

0.1614th

0.0317th

0.169th

0.215th

0.1310th

NFO(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.82

0.719th

0.349th

0.3212th

0.391st

0.531st

0.165th

0.0317th

0.186th

0.165th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did the defensive gap show in chance quality?

Did the press force the turnovers we expected?

Did finishing regression show up, or did luck hold?

Come back after the final whistle.

LiverpoolLiverpool
3-0
Nottingham ForestForest
Jota 30'
Núñez 34'
Salah

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

LIV

LIV

NFO

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

LIV

LIV

NFO

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

LIV

LIV

NFO

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Nottingham Forest formWDWDL

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

LIV

LIV

NFO