Newcastle Utd vs Bournemouth Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

Combined xG profiles point to 3.5+ goals. Expect early action rather than a cagey start

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Three straight defeats will affect their approach. Expect a cautious opening from NEW

FavoursBOUSubscribers see the evidence behind this

A stark contrast in approach: BOU skip the midfield while NEW control tempo, creating a pattern clash

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Newcastle United

Last 11 home games6W · 2D · 3L · 55% wins

Solid form (wasteful in front of goal)

1.9 goals per game (xG expected: 2.3)

Below expected

1.5 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.5)

On track

Bournemouth

Last 10 away games1W · 5D · 4L · 10% wins

Struggling away (wasteful in front of goal)

1.8 goals per game (xG expected: 2.0)

Below expected

2.6 conceded per game (xGA expected: 2.6)

On track

Player
Gordon NEW	0.49	0.29	2.17	88
Ünal BOU	0.57	0.55	3.81	-
Brooks BOU	0.62	0.44	3.15	-

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Newcastle United

Bournemouth

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

NEW(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.63

0.795th

0.378th

0.552nd

0.323rd

0.2910th

0.0018th

0.1113th

0.1115th

0.1114th

BOU(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.66

0.5513th

0.661st

0.503rd

0.1611th

0.344th

0.1114th

0.166th

0.1114th

0.0815th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Was the game as open as the xG profiles suggested?

Did the struggling side show signs of recovery?

Which style came out on top, direct or possession?

Come back after the final whistle.

Newcastle UtdNewcastle
2-2
BournemouthBournemouth
Gordon (P) 57'
Ritchie 91'

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

NEW

BOU

BOU

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

NEW

BOU

BOU

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

NEW

BOU

BOU

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Bournemouth formWDWWD

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

NEW

BOU

BOU