Nottingham Forest vs Everton Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

Their recent conversion outpaces xG by 33%. If chance volume drops, the goals could dry up

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NFO build from the back against one of the league's more aggressive presses, creating transition opportunities for EVE

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Nottingham Forest

Last 10 home games2W · 3D · 5L · 20% wins

Struggling at home (wasteful in front of goal)

1.0 goals per game (xG expected: 1.6)

Underperforming

1.4 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.3)

On track

Everton

Last 10 away games5W · 3D · 2L · 50% wins

Solid form (solid defence)

0.9 goals per game (xG expected: 1.0)

On track

0.7 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.6)

Outperforming

Player
Wood NFO	0.55	0.49	1.93	74
Beto EVE	0.49	0.42	2.95	25
Awoniyi NFO	0.44	0.41	1.48	52

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Nottingham Forest

Everton

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

NFO(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.82

0.719th

0.349th

0.3212th

0.391st

0.531st

0.165th

0.0317th

0.186th

0.165th

EVE(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.95

0.5812th

0.2116th

0.2914th

0.268th

0.1315th

0.1311th

0.168th

0.1313th

0.0518th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Nottingham ForestForest
0-1
EvertonEverton

Pre-Match Signals

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Players who decide this

NFO

EVE

NFO

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

NFO

EVE

NFO

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

NFO

EVE

NFO

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Everton formDWDDW

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

NFO

EVE

NFO