Nottingham Forest vs Fulham Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

FUL concede disproportionate xG through their left side, exactly where NFO focus their attacks

FavoursNFOSubscribers see the evidence behind this

Their recent conversion outpaces xG by 33%. If chance volume drops, the goals could dry up

FavoursFULSubscribers see the evidence behind this

Nottingham Forest

Last 10 home games2W · 3D · 5L · 20% wins

Struggling at home (wasteful in front of goal)

1.0 goals per game (xG expected: 1.6)

Underperforming

1.4 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.3)

On track

Fulham

Last 10 away games3W · 1D · 6L · 30% wins

Solid form

1.2 goals per game (xG expected: 1.3)

On track

1.8 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.8)

On track

Player
Muniz FUL	0.63	0.58	3.06	81
Wood NFO	0.55	0.49	1.93	74
Bobb FUL	0.72	0.32	0.73	-

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Nottingham Forest

Fulham

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

NFO(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.82

0.719th

0.349th

0.3212th

0.391st

0.531st

0.165th

0.0317th

0.186th

0.165th

FUL(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.29

0.748th

0.2911th

0.3213th

0.295th

0.1813th

0.1115th

0.185th

0.0816th

0.1113th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did the channel advantage actually produce chances?

Did finishing regression show up, or did luck hold?

Come back after the final whistle.

Nottingham ForestForest
3-1
FulhamFulham
Hudson-Odoi 8'
Wood 18'
Gibbs-White

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

FUL

NFO

FUL

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

FUL

NFO

FUL

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

FUL

NFO

FUL

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Fulham formWLWLL

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

FUL

NFO

FUL