Nottingham Forest vs Sheffield Utd Preview: What the xG Data Says

Premier League 2023/2024

GW2

18 Aug 18:45

P. Bankes

This match has been played.

See full analysis

Pre-Match Signals

Their recent conversion outpaces xG by 33%. If chance volume drops, the goals could dry up

FavoursSheffield UnitedSubscribers see the evidence behind this

Sheffield United concede just NaN xGA per match vs NFO's 1.8. That gap should show in chance quality

FavoursSheffield UnitedSubscribers see the evidence behind this

Nottingham Forest

Last 10 home games2W · 3D · 5L · 20% wins

Struggling at home (wasteful in front of goal)

1.0 goals per game (xG expected: 1.6)

Underperforming

1.4 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.3)

On track

Player
Wood NFO	0.55	0.49	1.93	74
Gibbs-White NFO	0.39	0.16	1.69	57
Awoniyi NFO	0.44	0.41	1.48	52

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Nottingham Forest

Sheffield United

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

NFO(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.82

0.719th

0.349th

0.3212th

0.391st

0.531st

0.165th

0.0317th

0.186th

0.165th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did finishing regression show up, or did luck hold?

Did the defensive gap show in chance quality?

Come back after the final whistle.

Nottingham Forest form

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Player
Wood NFO	0.55	0.49	1.93	74
Gibbs-White NFO	0.39	0.16	1.69	57
Awoniyi NFO	0.44	0.41	1.48	52

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Nottingham ForestForest
2-1
Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd
Awoniyi 2'
Wood 88'

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

NFO

NFO

NFO

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

NFO

NFO

NFO

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

NFO

NFO

NFO

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Sheffield United form

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

NFO

NFO

NFO