Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

See full analysis

Pre-Match Signals

Their recent conversion outpaces xG by 33%. If chance volume drops, the goals could dry up

FavoursTOTSubscribers see the evidence behind this

NFO build from the back against one of the league's more aggressive presses, creating transition opportunities for TOT

FavoursTOTSubscribers see the evidence behind this

A stark contrast in approach: NFO skip the midfield while TOT control tempo, creating a pattern clash

Subscribers see the evidence behind this

Nottingham Forest

Last 10 home games2W · 3D · 5L · 20% wins

Struggling at home (wasteful in front of goal)

1.0 goals per game (xG expected: 1.6)

Underperforming

1.4 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.3)

On track

Tottenham Hotspur

Last 10 away games3W · 3D · 4L · 30% wins

Solid form (clinical finishing)

1.3 goals per game (xG expected: 1.0)

Above expected

1.7 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.8)

On track

Player
Solanke TOT	0.55	0.44	2.24	77
Wood NFO	0.55	0.49	1.93	74
Richarlison TOT	0.59	0.50	2.94	68

32 more players, opponent-adjusted columns and last-6 trendsSign Up

Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Nottingham Forest

Tottenham Hotspur

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

NFO(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.82

0.719th

0.349th

0.3212th

0.391st

0.531st

0.165th

0.0317th

0.186th

0.165th

TOT(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.50

0.823rd

0.1117th

0.505th

0.1613th

0.422nd

0.167th

0.1112th

0.187th

0.0517th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did finishing regression show up, or did luck hold?

Did the press force the turnovers we expected?

Which style came out on top, direct or possession?

Come back after the final whistle.

Nottingham ForestForest
0-2
TottenhamTottenham

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

TOT

NFO

TOT

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

TOT

NFO

TOT

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

TOT

NFO

TOT

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Tottenham Hotspur formLLDDL

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

TOT

NFO

TOT