Nottingham Forest vs West Ham Utd Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

Their recent conversion outpaces xG by 33%. If chance volume drops, the goals could dry up

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Nottingham Forest

Last 10 home games2W · 3D · 5L · 20% wins

Struggling at home (wasteful in front of goal)

1.0 goals per game (xG expected: 1.6)

Underperforming

1.4 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.3)

On track

West Ham United

Last 11 away games2W · 4D · 5L · 18% wins

Struggling away (wasteful in front of goal)

1.1 goals per game (xG expected: 1.3)

Below expected

1.7 conceded per game (xGA expected: 2.3)

Outperforming

Player
Bowen WHU	0.51	0.36	2.13	70
Wood NFO	0.55	0.49	1.93	74
Wilson WHU	0.80	0.63	2.86	89

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Nottingham Forest

West Ham United

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

NFO(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.82

0.719th

0.349th

0.3212th

0.391st

0.531st

0.165th

0.0317th

0.186th

0.165th

WHU(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

3.00

0.921st

0.393rd

0.504th

0.1612th

0.327th

0.261st

0.0815th

0.243rd

0.138th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did finishing regression show up, or did luck hold?

Did either side beat their xG?

Come back after the final whistle.

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

WHU

NFO

WHU

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Nottingham ForestForest
2-0
West Ham UtdWest Ham
Awoniyi 49'
Hudson-Odoi 94'

Players who decide this

WHU

NFO

WHU

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

WHU

NFO

WHU

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

West Ham United formLWWLW

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

WHU

NFO

WHU