Tottenham vs Bournemouth Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

Both teams defend high and press aggressively, which typically opens space in behind and increases transition frequency

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A stark contrast in approach: BOU skip the midfield while TOT control tempo, creating a pattern clash

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Combined xG profiles point to 3.2+ goals. Expect early action rather than a cagey start

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Tottenham Hotspur

Last 10 home games1W · 4D · 5L · 10% wins

Struggling at home (leaky at the back)

1.2 goals per game (xG expected: 1.3)

On track

1.5 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.2)

Below expected

Bournemouth

Last 10 away games1W · 5D · 4L · 10% wins

Struggling away (wasteful in front of goal)

1.8 goals per game (xG expected: 2.0)

Below expected

2.6 conceded per game (xGA expected: 2.6)

On track

Player
Richarlison TOT	0.59	0.50	2.94	68
Ünal BOU	0.57	0.55	3.81	-
Brooks BOU	0.62	0.44	3.15	-

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Tottenham Hotspur

Bournemouth

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

TOT(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.50

0.823rd

0.1117th

0.505th

0.1613th

0.422nd

0.167th

0.1112th

0.187th

0.0517th

BOU(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.66

0.5513th

0.661st

0.503rd

0.1611th

0.344th

0.1114th

0.166th

0.1114th

0.0815th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did the high lines create the open, stretched game we expected?

Which style came out on top, direct or possession?

Was the game as open as the xG profiles suggested?

Come back after the final whistle.

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

TOT

BOU

BOU

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

TottenhamTottenham
3-1
BournemouthBournemouth
Sarr 8'
Heung-Min 70'
Richarlison

Players who decide this

TOT

BOU

BOU

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

TOT

BOU

BOU

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Bournemouth formWDWWD

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

TOT

BOU

BOU